The States of North Africa as Strategic Partners of Ukraine

Abstract

The article comprehensively explores the potential of the North African states (Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia) as strategic partners for Ukraine in the context of Russian aggression. Emphasis is placed on the growing strategic importance of the Maghreb region, which is determined by key factors: energy resources, logistical potential (Suez Canal, the “Grain from Ukraine” initiative), economic weight, and the necessity of diplomatic support on international platforms. The following methods are used in the article: comparative and historical analysis, systematic approach, case studies, modeling and forecasting methods

An analysis of the architecture of relations before and after the start of the full-scale invasion is conducted. Factors that caused the limited effectiveness of previous diplomacy in 2014–2022 are highlighted, and how the approach to partnership changed after 2022 is examined, including the intensification of dialogue and an individualized approach due to the non-uniform stance of the Maghreb countries in the UN. The impact of Russian propaganda and economic interests on the region, which led to the neutrality of several states, is considered separately. The successes in trade and economic cooperation (positive trade balance in 2024, agrarian export) and in the field of cultural and humanitarian cooperation (education, public diplomacy) as tools to counteract the Kremlin’s influence are underscored.

The concluding part of the article outlines the main strategic guidelines necessary for strengthening the partnership with North Africa: improving the diplomatic situation (overcoming neutrality, combating disinformation), ensuring sustainable economic growth (increasing trade, attracting investment, developing logistics), and utilizing unique Ukrainian experience (in the military-technical sphere, infrastructure restoration, and IT technologies). The implementation of these directions will help to strengthen Ukraine’s positive image, reduce the level of Russian influence, and ensure the long-term stability and development of bilateral relations..